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Organisms are present in ballast water discharged from a ship according to a Poisson process with a concentration of 10 organisms/m3 a. What is the probability that one cubic meter of dis- charge contains at least 8 organisms? b. What is the probability that the number of organisms in 1.5 m3 of discharge exceeds its mean value by more than one standard deviation? c. For what amount of discharge would the probability of containing at least 1 organism be .999?

User AJM
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Final answer:

The probabilities related to the presence of organisms in ballast water discharged from ships are determined using the Poisson distribution. Calculations address the likelihood of at least 8 organisms per cubic meter, exceeding the mean by more than one standard deviation in 1.5 m^3, and finding the discharge amount for a .999 probability of at least one organism.

Step-by-step explanation:

Probability of Organisms in Ballast Water

The probability that one cubic meter of ballast water discharged from a ship contains at least 8 organisms can be calculated using the Poisson distribution formula. The average concentration (mean, λ) is given as 10 organisms/m3. The probability P(X ≥ 8) is found by calculating 1 minus the sum of probabilities from 0 to 7 organisms. For part b, we assume that the number of organisms in 1.5 m3 is also Poisson distributed with a mean of 1.5 times that of 1 m3, which is 15. The standard deviation for a Poisson distribution is the square root of the mean, thus σ = √15. We find the probability that the number exceeds 15 + σ by computing 1 minus the probability of the number being less than or equal to this value. For part c, we solve for m in the equation P(X ≥ 1) = .999 with the mean λ = 10m, where m is the discharge amount in cubic meters.

User Bruce Nielson
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Only letter a has an answer. Pls. see attachment.

The probability that one cubic meter of discharge contains at least 8 organisms is 0.7798
Organisms are present in ballast water discharged from a ship according to a Poisson-example-1
User Deepak Kumar T P
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