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If one card is drawn from a standard 52- card deck and not replaced, what is the probabity of getting an ace on the next draw?

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Answer:

The probability is about 7.7%

Explanation:

A probability is the ratio of the number of relevant outcomes and the number of all possible outcomes. To answer this question we do some counting first:

Consider two draws. We are interested in the second draw being an Ace, the first draw can either be an Ace or not, so, there are two cases of a relevant outcomes (all without replacement):

(number of relevant oucomes n ) = (number of cases of Ace-Ace draws) + (number of cases of NonAce-Ace draws):


n=4\cdot 3+{48\cdot4}= 204

(number of possible outcomes) = (number of choices at first draw) * (number of choices at second draw) = 52 * 51 = 2652

The probability is then

P = 204/2652 = 0.0769, or about 7.7%

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