Question

Pure expectations theory The pure expectations theory, or the expectations hypothesis, asserts that long-term interest rates can be used to estimate future short-term interest rates. Based on the pure expectations theory, is the following statement true or false? The pure expectations theory assumes that a one-year bond purchased today will have the same return as a one-year bond purchased five years from now. False True The yield on a one-year Treasury security is 5.8400%, and the two-year Treasury security has a 7.0080% yield. Assuming that the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the market’s estimate of the one-year Treasury rate one year from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.) 10.3999% 6.9606% 8.1889% 9.3353% Recall that on a one-year Treasury security the yield is 5.8400% and 7.0080% on a two-year Treasury security. Suppose the one-year security does not have a maturity risk premium, but the two-year security does and it is 0.2%. What is the market’s estimate of the one-year Treasury rate one year from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.) 8.8748% 6.6172% 7.7849% 9.8868% Suppose the yield on a two-year Treasury security is 5.83%, and the yield on a five-year Treasury security is 6.20%. Assuming that the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the market’s estimate of the three-year Treasury rate two years from now? (Note: Do not round your intermediate calculations.) 6.53% 6.45% 5.46% 6.69%

Answer 1

False

6.9606

9.8868

Step-by-step explanation:

Forward rates represent the expected future rate. This theory is known as pure expectation theory. The bond purchase today will not have the discount factor affect whereas the bond purchased five years from now will have different return from today. The five year value will need to be discounted in order to find the return on todays date.