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A country's population in 1990 was 59 million. In 2002 it was 63 million. Estimate the population in 2018 using exponential growth formula. Round your answer to the nearest million

User Gratsby
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1 Answer

6 votes
The formula for exponential growth is P =Ae^kt

P = new population
A = starting population
k is a constant
and t is number of years.
e is a logarithm function

using the 2 known years
we know 2002-1990 = 12 years
the population in 2002 was 63 million, population in 1990 was 59 million

so using the above equation we can solve for k:
63 = 59e^k12
divide both sides by 59:
63/59 = e^k12
1.06779 = e^k12
find logorithm of left side to get rid of the e on the right side:

ln 1.06779 = k12

0.06559 = k12
divide both sides by 12 for k:
k = 0.06559 / 12 = 0.00546644
now we want to find population in 2018

2018 - 1990 = 28 years
so now t = 28 using the same formula we have:

P = 59e^(0.00546644*28)

P = 68.758 million
rounded to nearest million = 69 million people








User UnholyRanger
by
6.9k points
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