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Suppose that the population of the scores of all high school seniors who took the SAT Math (SAT-M) test this year follows a Normal distribution with standard deviation σ = 100.

You read a report that says, "On the basis of a simple random sample of 100 high school seniors that took the SAT-M test this year, a confidence interval for μ is found to be 512.00 ± 25.76."

What was the confidence level used to calculate this confidence interval?

1 Answer

4 votes

Answer:

Confidence =
1-\alpha=1-0.01=0.99

And then the confidence level would be given by 99%

Explanation:

The margin of error is the range of values below and above the sample statistic in a confidence interval.

Normal distribution, is a "probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean".

Assuming the X follows a normal distribution


X \sim N(\mu, \sigma)

The distribution for the sample mean is given by:


\bar X \sim N(\mu, (\sigma)/(√(n)))


\bar x =512 represent the sample mean


\sigma=100 represent the population standard deviation

n= 100 sample size selected.

The confidence interval is given by this formula:


\bar X \pm z_(\alpha/2) (\sigma)/(√(n)) (1)

The marginof error for this case is given by Me=25.76. And we know that the formula for the margin of error is given by:


Me=z_(\alpha/2) (\sigma)/(√(n))


25.76=z_(\alpha/2) (100)/(√(100))

And we can find the critical value
z_(\alpha/2) like this:


z_(\alpha/2)=(25.76(√(100)))/(100)=2.576

And we know that on the right tail of the z score =2.576 we have
\alpha/2 of the total area. We can find the area on the right of the z score using this excel code:

"=1-NORM.DIST(2.576,0,1,TRUE)" or using a table of the normal standard distribution, and we got 0.004998=
\alpha/2, so then
\alpha=0.00498*2=0.009995 \approx 0.01, and then we can find the confidence like this:

Confidence =
1-\alpha=1-0.01=0.99

And then the confidence level would be given by 99%

User Farhangdon
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