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A sample of 1600 computer chips revealed that 54% of the chips do not fail in the first 1000 hours of their use. The company's promotional literature claimed that more than 51% do not fail in the first 1000 hours of their use. Is there sufficient evidence at the 0.05 level to support the company's claim?

1 Answer

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Answer:


p_v =P(z>2.40)=0.0082

The p value obtained was a very low value and using the significance level given
\alpha=0.05 we have
p_v<\alpha so we can conclude that we have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis, and we can said that at 5% of significance the proportion of the chips that do not fail in the first 1000 hours of their use is higher than 0.51 or 51% (Company's claim).

Explanation:

1) Data given and notation n

n=1600 represent the random sample taken

X=represent the number of the chips do not fail in the first 1000 hours of their use


\hat p=0.54 estimated proportion of the chips do not fail in the first 1000 hours of their use


p_o=0.51 is the value that we want to test


\alpha=0.05 represent the significance level

Confidence=95% or 0.95

z would represent the statistic (variable of interest)


p_v represent the p value (variable of interest)

2) Concepts and formulas to use

We need to conduct a hypothesis in order to test the claim that more than 51% do not fail in the first 1000 hours of their use, the system of hypothesis on this case would be:

Null hypothesis:
p\leq 0.51

Alternative hypothesis:
p > 0.51

When we conduct a proportion test we need to use the z statistic, and the is given by:


z=\frac{\hat p -p_o}{\sqrt{(p_o (1-p_o))/(n)}} (1)

The One-Sample Proportion Test is used to assess whether a population proportion
\hat p is significantly different from a hypothesized value
p_o.

3) Calculate the statistic

Since we have all the info requires we can replace in formula (1) like this:


z=\frac{0.54 -0.51}{\sqrt{(0.51(1-0.51))/(1600)}}=2.40

4) Statistical decision

It's important to refresh the p value method or p value approach . "This method is about determining "likely" or "unlikely" by determining the probability assuming the null hypothesis were true of observing a more extreme test statistic in the direction of the alternative hypothesis than the one observed". Or in other words is just a method to have an statistical decision to fail to reject or reject the null hypothesis.

The significance level provided
\alpha=0.05. The next step would be calculate the p value for this test.

Since is a upper right tailed test the p value would be:


p_v =P(z>2.40)=0.0082

So the p value obtained was a very low value and using the significance level given
\alpha=0.05 we have
p_v<\alpha so we can conclude that we have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis, and we can said that at 5% of significance the proportion of the chips that do not fail in the first 1000 hours of their use is higher than 0.51 or 51%.

User Gabriele Muscas
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