Question

Niaz’s car breaks down, and he is convinced that it was a predictable event even though there was no way of knowing it would happen. This exemplifies ________.

a. anchoring bias
b. availability heuristic
c. hindsight bias
d. representational bias

Answer 1

Niaz's conviction that his car breaking down was predictable, despite no foreknowledge, is an example of hindsight bias, where events are falsely perceived as having been predictable after they occur.

Step-by-step explanation:

Niaz's car breaking down and his belief that it was a predictable event even though there was no prior knowledge that it would happen exemplifies hindsight bias. Hindsight bias is the tendency to believe, after an event has occurred, that one would have or could have predicted the event beforehand. It is a common cognitive bias where individuals see events as more predictable after they have happened, giving them a false sense of prediction accuracy.

Answer 2

C

Step-by-step explanation:

Hindsight bias or knew-it-all phenomenon refers to a tendency for people to think about events. When an event happens, people believe that they would have predicted or have known the outcome of the event. It is a result of overconfidence about our prediction ability.

Here, although Niaz has had no hint to know what may happen, he believes that it was predictable.