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Researchers published a study in which they considered the incidence among the elderly of various mental health conditions such as dementia, bi-polar disorder, obsessive compulsive disorder, delirium, and Alzheimer's disease. In the U.S., 45% of adults over 65 suffer from one or more of the conditions considered in the study. Calculate the probability that fewer than 320 out of the n = 750 adults over 65 in the study suffer from one or more of the conditions under consideration. Give your answer accurate to three decimal places in decimal form. (Example: 0.398)

2 Answers

5 votes

Final answer:

To determine the probability that fewer than 320 out of 750 adults over 65 suffer from certain mental health conditions, the normal approximation to the binomial distribution is used. After calculating the mean and standard deviation, the Z-score is found and the corresponding cumulative probability from the standard normal distribution table is used to answer the question.

Step-by-step explanation:

To calculate the probability that fewer than 320 out of 750 adults over 65 in the study suffer from one or more of the mental health conditions, we can use the normal approximation to the binomial distribution, as the sample size is large. We are given that the probability of an adult over 65 suffering from one of the conditions is 45%, or 0.45.

First, we calculate the mean (μ) and standard deviation (σ) of the binomial distribution:

Mean, μ = n * p = 750 * 0.45

Standard deviation, σ = sqrt(n * p * (1 - p))

These calculations give us:

μ = 337.5

σ ≈ 13.94

Next, we find the Z-score for 319.5 (using 319.5 instead of 320 for continuity correction):

Z = (X - μ) / σ = (319.5 - 337.5) / 13.94

Calculating the above gives us a Z-score, which we then look up in the standard normal distribution table to find the cumulative probability for that Z-score.

Finally, we interpret this cumulative probability as the probability that fewer than 320 adults suffer from one or more of the conditions.

User Staff
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5.3k points
3 votes

Answer:

0.0996 or 0.1

Step-by-step explanation:

First, find the phat. x/n

Then find the z-score: p^ - 0.45 divided by the square root of 0.45(1-0.45)/750.

Hope this helps!

User WENDYN
by
5.6k points