66.8k views
5 votes
If you have a 1 in a thousand chance of winning $400, but 999 out of a thousand times you win nothing, what is your expected payoff​

2 Answers

1 vote

Answer:

$0.4

Explanation:

User Wdickerson
by
8.3k points
3 votes

Answer:$0.4

Explanation:

Let
P_(w) be the probability of winning.

Let
P_(l) be the probability of loosing.

Given that we win once in thousand times.

So,
P_(w)=(1)/(1000)

Since
P_(w)+P_(l)=1


P_(l)=1-P_(w)=1-(1)/(1000)=(999)/(1000)

Since we win noting if we loose,

expected payoff is product of probability of winning and the prize.

Let
pr be the prize.

Given,
pr=400

Expected payoff is
pr* P_(w)=400* (1)/(1000) =0.4

So,$
0.4 is the expected payoff each time.

User Diezsiete
by
7.4k points