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The Fight For Life emergency helicopter service is available for medical emergencies occurring 15 to 90 miles from the hospital. A long-term study of the service shows that the response time from receipt of the dispatch call to arrival at the scene of the emergency is normally distributed with standard deviation of 8 minutes. What is the mean response time (to the nearest whole minute) if only 6.7% of the calls require more than 54 minutes to respond? For a randomly received call, what is the probability that the response time will be less than 30 minutes? For a randomly received call, what is the probability that the response time will be within 1.5 standard deviations of the mean?

User X Squared
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2 Answers

7 votes

Final answer:

The mean response time for the emergency helicopter service is 42 minutes. To calculate probabilities involving response times, determine the appropriate Z-scores and refer to the standard normal distribution table or use a statistical software or calculator that provides normal distribution functions.

Step-by-step explanation:

The problem states that the emergency helicopter service has a normal distribution of response times with a standard deviation of 8 minutes. To find the mean response time, we can use the Z-score formula associated with the given percentile. The question indicates that 6.7% of the calls require more than 54 minutes to respond. In a standard normal distribution table, this corresponds to a Z-score slightly greater than 1.5 (since the table would show 93.3% below 54 minutes).

Given that Z = (X - μ) / σ, and solving for μ (mean), we have μ = X - Zσ. Using Z = 1.5, σ = 8, and X = 54, we get the mean μ = 54 - (1.5×8) = 42 minutes.

Probability of Response Time Less Than 30 Minutes

To find the probability that the response time is less than 30 minutes, we calculate the Z-score for 30 minutes using the mean 42 minutes and standard deviation of 8 minutes, and then we look up the cumulative probability associated with that Z-score in the standard normal distribution table.

Probability Within 1.5 Standard Deviations

To determine the probability that a randomly received call will have a response time within 1.5 standard deviations of the mean, we calculate the cumulative probabilities for μ - 1.5σ and μ + 1.5σ, and then find the difference between these two probabilities.

User Ajay Sharma
by
6.3k points
5 votes

Answer:

The mean response time is 42 minutes.

There is a 6.68% probability that the response time will be less than 30 minutes.

There is an 86.62% probability that the response time will be within 1.5 standard deviations of the mean.

Step-by-step explanation:

Problems of normally distributed samples can be solved using the z-score formula.

In a set with mean
\mu and standard deviation
\sigma, the zscore of a measure X is given by


Z = (X - \mu)/(\sigma)

The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the pvalue, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.

In this problem, we have that:

A long-term study of the service shows that the response time from receipt of the dispatch call to arrival at the scene of the emergency is normally distributed with standard deviation of 8 minutes. This means that
\sigma = 8.

What is the mean response time (to the nearest whole minute) if only 6.7% of the calls require more than 54 minutes to respond?

This means that Z when
X = 54 has a pvalue of 1-0.067 = 0.933. This is
Z = 1.5. So


Z = (X - \mu)/(\sigma)


1.5 = (54 - \mu)/(8)


54 - \mu = 12


\mu = 42

The mean response time is 42 minutes.

For a randomly received call, what is the probability that the response time will be less than 30 minutes?

This is the pvalue of Z when
X = 30.


Z = (X - \mu)/(\sigma)


Z = (30 - 42)/(8)


Z = -1.5


Z = -1.5 has a pvalue of 0.0668.

This means that there is a 6.68% probability that the response time will be less than 30 minutes.

For a randomly received call, what is the probability that the response time will be within 1.5 standard deviations of the mean?

This is between 30 and 54 minutes.

Subtracing the pvalue of Z when
X = 54 by the pvalue of Z when
X = 30, we get that there is a 0.933 - 0.0668 = 0.8662 = 86.62% probability that the response time will be within 1.5 standard deviations of the mean.

User LoVo
by
6.2k points
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