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In a certain city, 30% of the families have a MasterCard, 20% have an American Express card, and 25% have a Visa card. Eight percent of the families have both a MasterCard and an American Express card. Twelve percent have both a Visa card and a MasterCard. Six percent have both an American Express card and a Visa card. What is the probability of selecting a family that has either a Visa card or an American Express card?

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Answer:

Explanation:

To solve this problem, we must build the Venn's Diagram of these probabilities.

I am going to say that:

-The set A represents the probability that a family has a MasterCard.

-The set B represents the probability that a family has an American Express Card.

-The set C represents the probability that a family has a Visa card.

We have that


A = a + (A \cap B) + (A \cap C)

In which a represents the probability that the family only has a MasterCard,
A \cap B represents the probability that the family has both a MasterCard and an American Express card and
A \cap C represents the probability that the family has both a Master and a Visa card.

By the same logic, we also have that:


B = b + (A \cap B) + (B \cap C)


C = c + (A \cap C) + (B \cap C)

What is the probability of selecting a family that has either a Visa card or an American Express card?

This is
P = b + c.

We start finding the probabilities from the intersection of these sets.

Six percent have both an American Express card and a Visa card. This means that:


B \cap C = 0.06

Twelve percent have both a Visa card and a MasterCard


A \cap C = 0.12

Eight percent of the families have both a MasterCard and an American Express card.


A \cap B = 0.08

25% have a Visa card


C = 0.25


C = c + (A \cap C) + (B \cap C)


0.25 = c + 0.12 + 0.06


c = 0.07

20% have an American Express card


B = 0.20


B = b + (A \cap B) + (B \cap C)


0.20 = b + 0.08 + 0.06


b = 0.06

What is the probability of selecting a family that has either a Visa card or an American Express card?


P = b + c = 0.07 + 0.06 = 0.13

There is a 13% probability of selecting a family that has either a Visa card or an American Express card

User Jean Vitor
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