Final answer:
The estimated size of the rodent population based on the mark–recapture study, assuming a 20% recapture rate of marked individuals, is 150 individuals.
Step-by-step explanation:
In a mark–recapture study to estimate the size of a rodent population, researchers catch and mark 30 individuals. Two days later, they again capture a number of rodents and find that 20% of the individuals are marked. Assuming no births, deaths, or migrations, the estimated size of the population can be found using the Lincoln-Petersen estimator:
M/N = m/n
Where M is the total number of individuals marked in the first catch (30), N is the total population size (unknown), m is the number of marked individuals recaptured (20% of second catch), and n is the number of individuals in the second catch (the total number caught).
Since 20% of the second catch are marked individuals, we take 20% of n to find m:
m = 0.20 * n
Now, we rearrange the Lincoln-Petersen formula to solve for N:
N = (M * n) / m
Because m = 0.20 * n, when we substitute, we get:
N = (30 * n) / (0.20 * n)
Notice that 'n' cancels out, and we are left with:
N = 30 / 0.20
N = 150
Therefore, the estimated size of the rodent population is 150 individuals.