Question

Alice is an 83-year-old resident of Oregon. She voted for Barack Obama in 2008 and again in 2012. Alice hopes that the next U.S. president will be a woman and she plans to be around to vote for her. Given what you know about age in relation to voter turnout, will Alice be likely to vote in 2014, when she will be 85?

Answer 1

Yes, with a 70% possibility

Explanation:

Refer to the graph attached, I found that online when researching voter turnout by age.

The step of the x-axis, aka age goes 5 by 5 because:

`step=(n_(x) -n_(x-1) )/(number of segments between n_(x) and n_(x-1)  ) =(40-20)/(4)=5`

So the next segment after 80 is 85.

The next step is to check the y-axis, for x=85 years, y≅70%

So Alice has a 70% chance of voting in 2014, let's say that she is likely.