Question

The Cinemania theater showed 108108108 different movies last year. Of those, 151515 movies were action movies.

Based on this data, what is a reasonable estimate of the probability that the next movie is an action movie?

Answer 1

15/108

Explanation:

I did it and got it right.

Hope this helps:)

Answer 2

5/36 (I won't repeat it 3 times :-) )

Explanation:

We just have to calculate the ratio of times an action movie played in the las year, that should be a good indication of the chances for an action movie to be played next, since the reference data is quite large. We're talking about a full year, no just a week or a month.

So, 15 action movies out of 108 movies...

The probability that next movie is an action movie is: 15 / 108 , or 5/36

That's roughly 1/7.