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The United States population of gray wolves was 1170 in 1991. If the population is decreasing by 5% each year, how long before there are only 300 left?

User Welsh King
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1 Answer

6 votes

Answer:

27 years.

Explanation:

We have been given that the United States population of gray wolves was 1170 in 1991. The population is decreasing by 5% each year.

We can see that population of grey wolves is decreasing exponentially, so we will use an exponential function to model the population after x years.

Since we know that exponential function is in form:
y=a*b^x, where,

a = Initial value,

b = For decay b is in form (1-r), where r represents decay rate in decimal form.

Let us convert our given decay rate in decimal form.


5\%=(5)/(100)=0.05

Upon substituting our given values we will get our function as:


y=1170(1-0.05)^x


y=1170(0.95)^x, where x represents number of years.

To find the time it will take the population to reach 300 we will substitute y=300 in our function.


300=1170(0.95)^x

Let us divide both sides of our equation by 1170.


(300)/(1170)=(1170(0.95)^x)/(1170)


0.2564102564102564=(0.95)^x

Let us take natural log of both sides of our equation.


ln(0.2564102564102564)=ln((0.95)^x)

Using natural log property
ln(a^b)=b*ln(a) we will get,


ln(0.2564102564102564)=x*ln(0.95)


(ln(0.2564102564102564))/(ln(0.95))=(x*ln(0.95))/(ln(0.95))


(-1.3609765531356007834)/(-0.0512932943875505)=x


x=26.53322\approx 27

Therefore, it will take approximately 27 years to the population of grey wolves to reach 300.

User Jonathan Hagen
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