Answer:
2. It is human will that determines history.
Step-by-step explanation:
War and Peace is a book written by Russian author Leo Tolstoy. It's a bit difficult to determine the genre this work belongs to as Tolstoy himself said he wouldn't call it a novel, but many refer to it as a historical novel. It tells about the French invasion of Russia at the beginning of the 19th century and its impact on Russian society through the stories of five Russian aristocratic families.
War and Peace doesn't tell only about events. It contains Tolstoy's thoughts on the flow of history as well. The excerpt you were given is an example of these thoughts. He argues with the opinion that great individuals, such as Napoleon, are the ones controlling the flow of history. He thinks that it is thousands of people and their will that determine what will happen. The human will is unpredictable, which is why many unexpected things have happened throughout human history.
This is why the second option is the correct one.