Explanation:
Use binomial probability:
P = nCr pʳ qⁿ⁻ʳ
where n is the number of trials,
r is the number of successes,
p is the probability of success,
and q is the probability of failure (1−p).
Given n = 5, p = 0.58, and q = 0.42.
P(0) = ₅C₀ (0.58)⁰ (0.42)⁵⁻⁰ = 0.013
P(1) = ₅C₁ (0.58)¹ (0.42)⁵⁻¹ = 0.090
P(2) = ₅C₂ (0.58)² (0.42)⁵⁻² = 0.249
P(3) = ₅C₃ (0.58)³ (0.42)⁵⁻³ = 0.344
P(4) = ₅C₄ (0.58)⁴ (0.42)⁵⁻⁴ = 0.238
P(5) = ₅C₅ (0.58)⁵ (0.42)⁵⁻⁵ = 0.066
The most likely result is 3 families.
The probability of at least 3 families is:
0.344 + 0.238 + 0.066 = 0.648