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Unoccupied seats on flights cause airlines to lose revenue. Suppose a large airline wants to estimate its average number of unoccupied seats per flight over the past year. 225 flight records are randomly selected and the number of unoccupied seats is noted, with a sample mean of 11.6 seats and a standard deviation of 4.1 seats. Calculate a 90 percent confidence interval for μ, the mean number of unoccupied seats per flight during the past year.

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Answer:


11.6-1.652(4.1)/(√(225))=11.148


11.6+1.652(4.1)/(√(225))=12.052

So on this case the 90% confidence interval would be given by (11.148;12.052)

Explanation:

Previous concepts

A confidence interval is "a range of values that’s likely to include a population value with a certain degree of confidence. It is often expressed a % whereby a population means lies between an upper and lower interval".

The margin of error is the range of values below and above the sample statistic in a confidence interval.

Normal distribution, is a "probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean".


\bar X=11.6 represent the sample mean


\mu population mean (variable of interest)

s=4.1 represent the sample standard deviation

n=225 represent the sample size

Solution to the problem

The confidence interval for the mean is given by the following formula:


\bar X \pm t_(\alpha/2)(s)/(√(n)) (1)

In order to calculate the critical value
t_(\alpha/2) we need to find first the degrees of freedom, given by:


df=n-1=225-1=224

Since the Confidence is 0.90 or 90%, the value of
\alpha=0.1 and
\alpha/2 =0.05, and we can use excel, a calculator or a table to find the critical value. The excel command would be: "=-T.INV(0.05,224)".And we see that
t_(\alpha/2)=1.652

Now we have everything in order to replace into formula (1):


11.6-1.652(4.1)/(√(225))=11.148


11.6+1.652(4.1)/(√(225))=12.052

So on this case the 90% confidence interval would be given by (11.148;12.052)

User Gabor Angyal
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