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The number of cracks in a section of interstate highway that are significant enough to require repair is assumed to follow a Poisson distribution with a mean of 3 cracks per mile. Round your answers to four decimal places (e.g. 98.7654). (a) What is the probability that there are no cracks that require repair in 22 miles of highway

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Answer:

0.0025 = 0.25% probability that there are no cracks that require repair in 2 miles of highway.

Explanation:

In a Poisson distribution, the probability that X represents the number of successes of a random variable is given by the following formula:


P(X = x) = (e^(-\mu)*\mu^(x))/((x)!)

In which

x is the number of sucesses

e = 2.71828 is the Euler number


\mu is the mean in the given time interval.

Mean of 3 cracks per mile

In this problem, we are going to calculate a probability in 2 miles. This means that
\mu = 2*3 = 6

(a) What is the probability that there are no cracks that require repair in 2 miles of highway

This is P(X = 0). So


P(X = x) = (e^(-\mu)*\mu^(x))/((x)!)


P(X = 0) = (e^(-6)*(6)^(0))/((0)!) = 0.0025

0.0025 = 0.25% probability that there are no cracks that require repair in 2 miles of highway.

User Mangesh Daundkar
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