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You are interested in purchasing a new car and have done some research. One of the many points you wish to consider is the resale value of the car after 5 years. You wish to estimate the resale value of the one that piques your interest with a 99% confidence interval. In your research, you obtain data on 17 recently resold 5-year-old sedans of the same model you wish to purchase. These 17 cars were resold at an average price of $12,500 with a standard deviation of $700. What is the 99% CI for the true mean resale value?

User Mosegui
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Answer:

The 99% confidence interval would be given by (12004.26;12995.74)

Step-by-step explanation:

1) Previous concepts

A confidence interval is "a range of values that’s likely to include a population value with a certain degree of confidence. It is often expressed a % whereby a population means lies between an upper and lower interval".

The margin of error is the range of values below and above the sample statistic in a confidence interval.

Normal distribution, is a "probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean".


\bar X=12500 represent the sample mean for the sample


\mu population mean (variable of interest)

s=700 represent the sample standard deviation

n=17 represent the sample size

2) Confidence interval

The confidence interval for the mean is given by the following formula:


\bar X \pm t_(\alpha/2)(s)/(√(n)) (1)

In order to calculate the critical value
t_(\alpha/2) we need to find first the degrees of freedom, given by:


df=n-1=17-1=16

Since the Confidence is 0.99 or 99%, the value of
\alpha=0.01 and
\alpha/2 =0.005, and we can use excel, a calculator or a table to find the critical value. The excel command would be: "=-T.INV(0.005,16)".And we see that
t_(\alpha/2)=2.92

Now we have everything in order to replace into formula (1):


12500-2.92(700)/(√(17))=12004.26


12500+2.92(700)/(√(17))=12995.74

So on this case the 99% confidence interval would be given by (12004.26;12995.74)

User CGTheLegend
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