Question

your employee is flying from detroit to phoenix with a stop in atlanta. the flight from detroit to atlanta is on time 70% of the time, while the flight from atlanta to phoenix is on time 80% of time. what will your employee tend to conclude about the chances of arriving at phoenix on time?

Answer 1

It's not possible to accurately predict the chances of arriving in Phoenix on time based on the information provided. The likelihood of arriving on time for the entire trip depends on the likelihood of both flights arriving on time. To determine the overall likelihood of arriving on time, you would need to calculate the probability of both flights arriving on time using the information provided.

For example, if the flight from Detroit to Atlanta is on time 70% of the time and the flight from Atlanta to Phoenix is on time 80% of the time, you could calculate the overall probability of arriving on time as follows:

Probability of both flights arriving on time = (0.70) * (0.80) = 0.56

This means that the chances of arriving in Phoenix on time would be about 56%. However, it's important to note that this is just an estimate and may not accurately reflect the actual chances of arriving on time due to various factors such as weather, mechanical issues, and other unforeseen circumstances.