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Reqression LPM Easiest "naive" forecast Y=m X+b MAM Not all previous actuals should have the same value 2 or more previous actuals are used WMAM

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Final answer:

In mathematics, using regression analysis and an algebraic framework, one can predict future outcomes based on historical data, such as sales growth for a retailer using the model ŷ = 101.32 + 2.48x. This method can predict sales on specific days and illustrate the effects of economic events on real GDP.

Step-by-step explanation:

Understanding Regression in Predictive Modeling

In the context of a mathematics question, specifically within the field of statistics, regression analysis is a powerful tool for estimating the relationships among variables. One common application of regression analysis is in the prediction of future outcomes based on historical data. For instance, an electronics retailer has implemented a simple linear regression model to forecast sales growth in the first quarter of their financial year. The created model, ŷ = 101.32 + 2.48x, where ŷ represents thousands of dollars and x is the day of the quarter, can be used to predict sales for each day within the 90-day period.

To predict the sales on day 60, the formula can be applied: ŷ = 101.32 + 2.48(60). After carrying out the multiplication and addition, the predicted sales for day 60 would be ŷ = 101.32 + 148.8, resulting in ŷ = 250.12 or $250,120. Similarly, to predict the sales on day 90, the formula applied would be: ŷ = 101.32 + 2.48(90). The computation yields a prediction of ŷ = 101.32 + 223.2, equating to ŷ = 324.52 or $324,520. This algebraic framework allows for a versatile approach in predictive modeling, not only in sales forecasting but also in broader fields like economics to predict the impacts of economic events and policy actions on variables such as the real GDP. The use of regression lines and the emphasis on their predictive capacity illustrates the importance of statistical tools in strategy planning and operational forecasting in business and finance.

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