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"Based on the results of the October 1-10, 2019, Gallup poll which asked 1,526 U.S. adults about their Christmas gift spending plans, it's mentioned that the average planned spending was $942.5 with a standard deviation of $150. In question 5, we used the 2 SD method to approximate a 95% confidence interval for μ. Now, suppose s was equal to $300. Use the 2 SD method to approximate the 95% confidence interval for μ. How does this interval compare to the interval from question 5 (both the midpoint and the width)? Please explain why the changes you observe make intuitive sense."

User Basedgod
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Final answer:

To approximate the 95% confidence interval for the population mean using the 2 SD method, we calculate the margin of error by multiplying the standard deviation by 2 and add/subtract it from the sample mean. The interval from question 5 has a narrower width compared to the interval calculated with a larger standard deviation. The changes in the interval make sense intuitively because a larger standard deviation leads to a wider range of plausible values for the population mean.

Step-by-step explanation:

To approximate the 95% confidence interval for the population mean, we will use the 2 SD method. Given the sample standard deviation (s) of $300, we can calculate the margin of error by multiplying the standard deviation by 2, which gives us $600. To find the lower and upper bounds of the interval, we subtract and add the margin of error from the sample mean. So the lower bound is $942.5 - $600 = $342.5 and the upper bound is $942.5 + $600 = $1542.5.

Comparing this interval to the one from question 5, we can see that the midpoint (average planned spending) remains the same at $942.5. However, the width of the interval has increased from $942.5 - $755 = $187.5 to $1542.5 - $342.5 = $1200.

Intuitively, this change makes sense because a larger standard deviation implies more variability in the data, leading to a wider interval. In other words, with a larger value for s, the range of plausible values for the population mean increases.

User Brandon Spilove
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