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Your favorite soccer player scored one goal after taking five shots on goal. What is the experimental probability that he will score on the next shot on goal?

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Hello!

The experimental probability is the data we get after performing an experiment. The theoretical probability is what we expect to happen. For example, we have a wheel labeled with a red section and a blue section. If you wanted to know how many times the spinner would land on the blue wheel, you can say 1/2, as it is the theoretical probability. If you spun the wheel 100 times, you would still get about 1/2 as well, which is the experimental probability.

As we can see, the soccer player has scored 1/5 goals. As it is soccer, there is no accurate theoretical probability as soccer is not like a fair wheel where there is an EXACT 1/2 chance. With soccer there is not an exact 1/2 chance of making a goal or not. This makes 1/5 our experimental probability.

To find this probability we will multiply our probability by 6.

0.2(6)=1.2

This means he has a 1.2/6 chance, which is a 20% or 1/5 chance, as we know he seems to have a 1/5 chance based off the data we have. We do not know the exact probability as he has only kicked 5 times.

I hope this helps!
User Krun
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Since 5 goes into 100 twenty times, then 1 out of 5 would be the statistical probability of 20%. Note: This is a generalization based on what we have previously discovered.
User Dannie P
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