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Acme Co. is considering a four-year project that will require an initial investment of $9,000. The base-case cash flows for this project are projected to be $14,000 per year. The best-case cash flows are projected to be $21,000 per year, and the worst-case cash flows are projected to be –$2,500 per year. The company’s analysts have estimated that there is a 50% probability that the project will generate the base-case cash flows. The analysts also think that there is a 25% probability of the project generating the best-case cash flows and a 25% probability of the project generating the worst-case cash flows.

User Quang Lam
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1 Answer

3 votes

Answer:

See below.

Step-by-step explanation:

We compute the expected return of the projects taking in to account all the probabilities and comparing the results to initial outlay.

Expected return = Probability * return

Expected return = 14,000*0.5 + 21,000*0.25 + (-2500*0.25)

Expected return = $11,625

Since the expected return of the investment is more that the initial out lay of $9,000 by $2,625, the project should be accepted and invested in.

Hope that helps.

User MBrizzle
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