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Catherine Chao, Director of Marketing Research, needs a sample of Kansas City households to participate in the testing of a new toothpaste package. If 40% of the households in Kansas City prefer the new package, the probability that Catherine's random sample of 300 households will have a sample proportion greater than 0.45 is ___________.

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Answer: 0.0384

Explanation:

Given : The proportion of the households in Kansas City prefer the new package : p= 0.40

sample size : n= 300

Now, the probability that Catherine's random sample of 300 households will have a sample proportion greater than 0.45 will be :-


P(p>0.45)=P(z>\frac{0.45-0.40}{\sqrt{(0.40(1-0.40))/(300)}})\\\\=P(z>1.77)

[∵
z=\frac{\hat{p}-p}{\sqrt{(p(1-p))/(n)}}]


=1-P(z\leq1.77) [∵ P(Z>z)=1-P(Z≤z)]


=1-0.9616=0.0384 [using p-value table for z]

Hence, the required probability = 0.0384

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