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A clinical trial tests a method designed to increase the probability of conceiving a girl. In the study 340 babies were​ born, and 289 of them were girls. Use the sample data to construct a 99​% confidence interval estimate of the percentage of girls born. Based on the​ result, does the method appear to be​effective?(__)<(__) ​(Round to three decimal places as​ needed.)Does the method appear to be​effective?a)No​,the proportion of girls is not significantly different from 0.5.b)Yes, the proportion of girls is significantly different from 0.5.

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Answer:

The 99% confidence interval estimate of the percentage of girls born is (0.8, 0.9).

b)Yes, the proportion of girls is significantly different from 0.5.

Explanation:

In a sample with a number n of people surveyed with a probability of a success of
\pi, and a confidence interval
1-\alpha, we have the following confidence interval of proportions.


\pi \pm z\sqrt{(\pi(1-\pi))/(n)}

In which

Z is the zscore that has a pvalue of
1 - (\alpha)/(2).

For this problem, we have that:

In the study 340 babies were​ born, and 289 of them were girls. This means that
n = 340, \pi = (289)/(340) = 0.85

Use the sample data to construct a 99​% confidence interval estimate of the percentage of girls born.

So
\alpha = 0.01, z is the value of Z that has a pvalue of
1 - (0.01)/(2) = 0.995, so
z = 2.575.

The lower limit of this interval is:


\pi - z\sqrt{(\pi(1-\pi))/(340)} = 0.85 - 2.575\sqrt{(0.85*0.15)/(400)} = 0.80

The upper limit of this interval is:


\pi + z\sqrt{(\pi(1-\pi))/(340)} = 0.85 + 2.575\sqrt{(0.85*0.15)/(400)} = 0.90

The 99% confidence interval estimate of the percentage of girls born is (0.8, 0.9).

Does the method appear to be ​effective?

b)Yes, the proportion of girls is significantly different from 0.5.

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