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A poll asked adults in a certain country whether immigration was a good thing or a bad thing for the country. Out of 10781078 ​respondents, 659659 said it was a good thing. a. What percentage of those taking the poll said immigration was a good​ thing? b. Check the conditions to determine whether you can apply the CLT to find a confidence interval. c. Find a​ 95% confidence interval for the proportion who believe immigration is a good thing.

User Sangwoo
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Answer with explanation:

a. Given : Sample size : n= 1078

The number of adults said it was a good thing= 659

Then , the proportion of success :
p=(659)/(1078)\approx0.611

b. The conditions to determine whether you can apply the CLT to find a confidence interval are :-

  • The data must be randomly sampled.
  • The sample size must be large (n>30).
  • The sample values should be independent of each other.

Since the given data satisfies all the above conditions , so we can apply the CLT to find a confidence interval.

c. Given : Significance level :
1-0.95=0.05

Critical value :
z_(\alpha/2)=1.96

The confidence interval for population proportion is given by :-


p\ \pm\ z_(\alpha/2)\sqrt{(p(1-p))/(n)}\\\\=0.611\pm (1.96)\sqrt{((0.611)(1-0.611))/(1078)}\approx0.611\pm0.029\\\\=(0.611-0.029,0.611+0.029)\\\\=(0.582, 0.64)

Hence, a​ 95% confidence interval for the proportion who believe immigration is a good thing is (0.582, 0.64).

User Radix
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