Question

You flipped a fair coin 10 times. The result were 7 heads and 3 tails. Is the next flip more likely to be heads, tails, or the same likelihood of heads or tails? Explain your answer using complete sentences.

Answer 1

The next flip is more likely to be heads. Why? Well, 7/10 times the coin was flipped, it landed on heads. Meanwhile, 3/10 times the coin was flipped, it landed on tails. Say the coin starts on the heads side. It is more likely to land on heads because it is proven that the heads side (the side with Abraham Lincoln’s head) is heavier than the tails side. Because the spin probably began on the heads side, the likelihood of consecutively landing on heads is high.